FARTCOIN is a type of based on Solana The Meme coin of blockchain officially came into existence on October 18, 2024. Its origin is dramatic—stemming from the artificial intelligence experimental project “Truth Terminal”. During a conversation with the AI model, due to the mention of Musk “liking the sound of farting”, the AI whimsically suggested creating a token called FARTCOIN and designed a promotional plan. Its name literally translates to “fart coin”, carrying absurd humor from internet culture right from the start.
Unlike traditional Crypto Assets that focus on technological innovation, FARTCOIN completely abandons practicality and emphasizes entertainment and community culture. It adopts the SPL token standard, with a total supply of 1 billion coins, all of which are in circulation in the market. Despite lacking practical functionality, it achieved a market capitalization of over 1 billion dollars in just three months since its launch, briefly ranking among the top 100 Crypto Assets by market value, becoming the highest valued AI meme coin in the Solana ecosystem.
Since its inception, the price of FARTCOIN has experienced extreme fluctuations, epitomizing the emotional nature of the Crypto Assets market:
- Historic low: fell to $0.02003 on October 30, 2024, nearly zero;
- First round explosion: In December 2024, the market value will exceed 1 billion USD, becoming the leader in the AI Meme coin category;
- Peak moment: January 19, 2025, reached an all-time high price of $2.61 (some platforms recorded it as $2.52), with a market capitalization approaching $1.6 billion;
- Recent fluctuations: In May 2025, it plummeted 43% from a high of $1.64, stabilizing at the critical support level of $1.00 in early June, with a trading price of about $1.04.
The core driving factors of price volatility
Social Media Popularity:
- The viral marketing movement “Hot Air Rises” significantly increased attention, with mentions on social media skyrocketing by 500% in a single month, directly driving a 100% short-term price increase.
- The celebrity effect is significant: a16z co-founder Marc Andreessen retweeted, the hedge fund Sigil Fund’s on-chain holdings were exposed, and the market maker Wintermute publicly listed it as a core asset, all of which triggered a price surge.
Institutional participation traces:
- On-chain data shows that the fund Sigil Fund bought in within 5 hours of the token launch, with early investment accounting for 10% of the market value at that time. After gradually cashing out 3 million USD, it still holds a position of 6.09 million USD.
- Wintermute’s position accounts for 1.56% of the total supply, ranking fourth, and its trading strategy directly affects market liquidity.
Overall Crypto Assets Market Trend:
- When Bitcoin and Ethereum rise, FARTCOIN often receives overflow capital; however, during market panic periods (such as the tariff policy impact in April 2025), its decline far exceeds that of mainstream coins.
- Derivatives Market Boost:
- The open interest for futures in 2025 surged by 504%, intensifying the volatility of the long-short battle. Negative funding rates often trigger short squeezes; for example, on April 9, prices rose against the trend by 50%, resulting in $9.16 million in short liquidations.
FARTCOIN Future Price Prediction: Divergence and Opportunities
Technical Analysis Perspective
Bullish Signal:
- In April 2025, the “inverted head and shoulders pattern” is formed, and after breaking the neckline, the theoretical target price is $1.96 (a potential increase of 100% compared to the current price).
- The return rate for the second quarter reached 132.5%. If the support level of $1.00 and the 100-day EMA (approximately $0.95) are maintained, a first positive quarterly return is expected.
Bearish Risk:
- The MACD death cross and RSI downward indicate weak short-term momentum. If it falls below $1.00, it may test $0.77 (200-day EMA) or even the $0.40 demand zone.
- The surge in long position liquidations in the derivatives market (5.95 million USD within 24 hours) reflects a cooling market sentiment.
Long-term forecasting model
Some platforms generate optimistic paths based on user emotions:
- 2025: Predicted average price $1.207
- 2030: Expected increase of 27.63%, target $1.5404
- 2050: Estimated value $4.0873 (an increase of 238.64% from current)
Investment Warning: High Risk and Absurd Reality
The rise of FARTCOIN exposes the irrational characteristics of the Crypto Assets market, even giving birth to more absurd financial derivatives:
- The “Perpetual Motion Machine” farce of FartStrategy: imitating MicroStrategy to establish a DAO organization, claiming to “continuously buy FARTCOIN to create value for holders.” Bloomberg columnist Matt Levine satirizes it as the “peak artwork of financial nihilism”—when the market value exceeds the holdings, it sells its own token $FSTR to buy FARTCOIN, creating a self-repeating farce.
- Risks that cannot be ignored:
- Extreme Volatility: The amplitude can reach -90% to +735% within 30 days, posing a very high risk of capital erosion.
- Zero practical value: relies on community sentiment, without technical or application scenario support;
- Manipulation Suspicions: Large holders have concentrated positions (average cost of the top 1,000 addresses $0.48), with clear signs of pump and dump.
Conclusion: A financial experiment triggered by “fart”
The existence of FARTCOIN is itself a satire of traditional financial logic. It was born out of an AI joke, rose to fame through social media frenzy, and was “legitimized” by institutional involvement, making the absurd seem valid. Although technical analysis suggests a possible short-term spike to $1.96, the lack of substantial fundamentals keeps it teetering on the edge of zero.
For investors, participating in FARTCOIN is more like a performance art - you can ride the “hot air”, but you must be fully aware that the balloon will eventually come down. If you insist on entering, strictly adhere to stop-losses, avoid leverage, and maintain a sense of humor; perhaps this is the only way to preserve your sanity.
Author:
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