What to Expect from the US CPI Release Today: Data Over 2.5% Could Crash Crypto Market | CoinGape

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the CPI data today, June 11, at 8:30 AM ET. As the netizens and investors brace for the May Consumer Price Index release, the market is on the edge, and higher volatility could form, depending on the outcome. Although investors’ sentiments are currently showing greed, the performance of digital assets is divided among bulls and bears, but a complete crypto market could crash if the data surpasses 2.5%. Let’s discuss.

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Crypto Market Expects a 2.5% YoY Increase in US CPI Data

Experts’ analysis forecast the US CPI to rise 0.2% MoM and 2.5% YoY, up 2.3% from the April data. If this happened, this would be the first CPI increase since February, which could influence the broader financial market, including crypto.

In addition to this, the Core inflation is also expected to rise 0.3% MoM and 2.9% from YoY under the impact of President Donald Trump’s tariff implementations.

“May should bring the leading edge of price increases, with the maximum impact coming in June and July,” said Stephen Stanley, chief U.S. economist at Santander.

In addition, experts believe the Fed would keep the interest rate steady at 4.25%-4.50% while policymakers keep an eye on inflation and labor data. This month, many more macroeconomic events will also be released, whose overall impact could build or crash the crypto market.

CPI data drops today.

The inflation narrative in the U.S. is shifting (services, base effects, and expectations)

Don’t be fooled by the calm.

Unexpected volatility is back on the table. pic.twitter.com/UrztWLSRry

— Thomas Kralow (@TKralow) June 11, 2025

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2 Out of 3 US CPI Data Results Would Fuel Crypto Market Crash

As the US CPI Data expectations are at 2.5%, it opens three possibilities for the digital asset’s reaction. Crypto analysts, including Ash Crypto, highlight that if the data came higher than expectations, it would be bad news that even the crypto market could crash, as this would become the highest MoM increase in 2025, hence high volatility.


The second case, where the data comes exactly as expected, could also bring a correction. However, this would not last long, as a reversal would follow. The last possibility is the data below expectation, which almost every investor desires.

This is because this would pump the crypto and stock market. Considering this possibility, the Bitcoin price is flourishing today, targeting $110k.

As the uncertainty looms, the investors must await official results.

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

1. What is the significance of US CPI data?

The CPI data indicates inflation trends, and its outcome could impact the Fed’s rate cut decision.

2. What are the analysts expecting for the May 2025 CPI data?

The expected CPI data for May 2025 is a 2.5% YoY increase.

3. Will the crypto market crash?

If the CPI data comes above expectations, the crypto market could crash.

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