Latest Price and Market Overview

By early July 2025, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) stabilized at around $105,846. Although there have been slight fluctuations in price over the past week, the overall trend remains above the psychological threshold of $100,000. This is the first time since BTC broke through $60,000 in 2021 that the market has maintained a long-term stable position in the six-figure price range.

In contrast, the price of Ethereum is currently around $5,800, indicating that the entire market is in a strong bull cycle, especially with BTC as the core asset showing the most resilience.

Bull run pillars: capital, geopolitics and technology

ETF inflows and institutional positioning

According to data from the SEC of the United States, since June 2025, the Bitcoin spot ETFs launched by mainstream institutions such as BlackRock and Fidelity have seen an average daily inflow of over 80 million dollars. Among them, the two products IBIT and FBTC have cumulatively managed over 90,000 BTC, equivalent to a market value of over 9.5 billion dollars.

Strategy Company (formerly MicroStrategy) announced on June 30 that it has purchased an additional 13,390 BTC, with a total value of up to 134 million USD, at an average purchase price of approximately 100,130 USD. This move directly stabilized market sentiment and demonstrated strong confidence among large investors in the long-term value of BTC.

Geopolitical and macroeconomic environment improvement

In the past few weeks, U.S. inflation data has eased, and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike cycle has temporarily halted; the geopolitical situation in the Middle East has also eased, leading to a recovery in global market risk appetite. This has caused risk assets, including gold, tech stocks, and BTC, to rise in tandem.

In this context, BTC is being re-evaluated as a “new safe-haven asset” against inflation and monetary policy risks, gaining more favor from institutions.

Technical Signal Analysis

From a technical perspective, the weekly MACD for BTC has formed a continuous golden cross and is in a high-level consolidation phase. Compared to past bull runs, this signal often indicates that the medium-term upward trend is not over yet.

Key support level:

• 100,000 USD (psychological barrier)
• $96,700 (EMA20 weekly)
• 91,200 USD (200-day moving average)

Short-term target resistance level:

• 111,980 USD (previous peak)
• $120,000 (integer barrier)

If it breaks above 112,000 USD, it may open up space to advance towards the 135,000–150,000 USD range.

Historical Reference: The Trend Patterns of BTC After Breaking Key Levels

At the end of 2020, Bitcoin first broke through the $20,000 mark and rose to $60,000 in just 3 months, an increase of over 200%. History has shown that after each breakthrough of the “psychological barrier” of whole numbers, the market often enters the most vigorous phase of growth.

This breakthrough of 100,000 dollars is expected to replicate a similar trend. If we take the current 100,000 as a baseline, a rise to 150,000 dollars represents a 50% increase, which is relatively conservative compared to the main waves in past bull runs (150–300%), indicating that there is still considerable upward potential in the market.

Medium to long-term price prediction: Next target area

According to predictions from several research institutions such as Bitget, CryptoQuant, and PANews:

• Mid-term target: $120,000 (within 1-2 months)
• Annual target: $148,000–$160,000
• 2026 forecast: the high could reach $179,000, while the low support remains above $88,000.

Additionally, the ICObench report indicates that by 2030, the median price of BTC could reach $320,000 and has the opportunity to challenge the ultra-long-term target of one million dollars.

Practical strategy suggestions for beginners

For newcomers entering the market, it is easy to develop a mentality of “fear of heights,” “missing out,” or “blindly chasing prices” when faced with high market levels. The following strategy suggestions are more suitable for a stable entry:

1. DCA strategy: Divide the investment amount into 3-4 equal parts and allocate them at price fluctuation intervals (100k, 105k, 110k, 115k).
2. Set the take profit and stop loss lines: use $95,000 as the defensive bottom line, and gradually take profit on part of the position above $112,000.
3. Monitor ETF data: Check the weekly ETF net inflow report. If the inflow remains positive, continue holding; if there are outflows for two consecutive weeks, consider reducing your position.
4. Utilize tools to assist decision-making: K-line indicators, MACD, RSI, and other tools can be used on platforms like Gate and TradingView to enhance judgment.

Summary:

The price of Bitcoin remains above $100,000 not by chance, but as a result of the combined efforts of institutional funds, the policy environment, and technological trends. For ordinary investors, grasping trends and formulating disciplined strategies is more important than chasing highs and cutting losses. In the medium to long term, BTC is highly likely to reach $120,000 to $150,000 in the coming months, or even higher. Under the grand logic of “Bitcoin price prediction,” choosing to enter the market within a reasonable range may yield a new round of crypto wealth dividends.