AXL USDT Price Prediction: Opportunities and Challenges for the Cross-Chain Dark Horse

With the increasing demand for cross-chain interoperability, Axelar (AXL), as a leading infrastructure connecting 56 blockchains, has seen its AXL/USDT token become the market focus recently. This article provides a multi-dimensional analysis combining technical indicators, ecological progress, and market sentiment. Price Prediction.

Short-term Trend: Technical Game (Next 1-3 Months)

• Current Status: As of June 2025, the AXL price hovers around $0.328, with the 50-day moving average ($0.362) forming a key resistance, and the 200-day moving average ($0.505) remains a mid-term resistance level.
• Key Support/Resistance:
  • Support levels: $0.305 (weak support), $0.294 (strong support)
  • Resistance level: $0.45 - $0.50 (short-term breakout target), $0.60 (medium-term strong resistance).
• Market Sentiment: Relative Strength Index (RSI 14) is at 55.36 (neutral), volatility remains at 7.85%, and the technical aspect has not yet exited the oscillation range.

Mid-term Drivers: Ecological Expansion and Deflationary Model (End of 2025)

Core Catalysts

• Mainstream exchange listing: After launching the Korean Won trading zone on Upbit, the 24-hour trading volume surged to $421 million, significantly enhancing liquidity.
• Deflation mechanism initiated: The Axelar Foundation plans to burn over 10 million AXL annually, compressing the inflation rate to 0.3%, and continuously reducing the circulating supply through Gas burning.
• RWA layout: Collaborating with Centrifuge to promote the tokenization of real-world assets, with potential demand increments supporting long-term valuation.

Price Range Prediction

• Conservative scenario: $0.75 (depends on market sentiment recovery)
• Optimistic scenario: $1.00 - $1.50 (needs to break through the historical high of $0.60 and maintain momentum).

Long-term Vision: The Battle for Dominance in the Cross-Chain Track (2026 and Beyond)

• Ecological Advantage: Axelar Virtual Machine (AVM) and development tool Mobius have attracted a large number of developers, with total cross-chain trading exceeding $7 billion.
• Competitive Pressure: Competitors like LayerZero and Cosmos are squeezing market share, and the speed of technological iteration is a key variable.
• Price divergence:
  • Bullish forecast: $10 - $15 (assuming capture of more than 30% cross-chain market share).
  • Bearish Warning: If the support at $0.30 is not held, it may drop to $0.20 or even lower.

Risk Warning

1. Token Unlock: The unlocking of tokens in 2026 may trigger selling pressure, and the holdings of the foundation need to be monitored.
2. Regulatory uncertainty: Global stablecoin policies are tightening, which may affect cross-chain asset flows.
3. Systemic market risk: The volatility of BTC is highly correlated with the cryptocurrency market at 0.75, and changes in the macro environment may amplify AXL fluctuations.

Trading Recommendations

• Short-term traders: Pay attention to the breakout signals in the $0.30 - $0.36 range. A strong move above the 50-day moving average may indicate a buying opportunity.
• Long-term holders: Diversify positions below $0.30, track quarterly deflation data and the progress of RWA implementation.
• Risk control: Avoid high leverage operations, be wary of the breakdown risk below $0.285.

Conclusion

The potential of AXL/USDT is anchored in the irreplaceability of the Axelar ecosystem: technical practicality (56 chain interoperability), economic model (deflation + Gas burning), and RWA narrative form a triple driving force. Despite short-term pressure, if it stabilizes at $0.50 in the medium term, a target of $1.00 is achievable. Investors should prioritize monitoring cross-chain trading volume, burn data, and competitive dynamics to capture trend turning points.