What's next? ? ?


It’s been a while since I’ve written a market analysis, and there’s no way the fluctuations are too small, so I basically have no desire to watch the market.
There is basically no profit margin for making contracts, let alone spot goods, so there are also a large number of leeks at present.
I don’t know if it’s because I’m disheartened because my warehouse was liquidated, or I went to Meituan secretly to accumulate funds.
Back to the topic, let's analyze the current market of the currency circle and the future trend!
Dabing is currently hovering in the range of 2.9-2.95. It has been inserted four times in the past two days, and each time it is only a few dozen points away from the bottom of 2.9. The lowest point of the contract is around 29040, and then it is quickly pulled rise. That is to say, none of these four pin insertions broke through the support level of 2.9. Explain that the support of 2.9 is very strong, and it has not broken after 4 tests, but we must pay attention to this support line: every time it is tested, its support effectiveness will decrease. Now it has been tested four times. -2 times is likely to pierce the support of 2.9, and go down to find new support, which is above the 28500-28700 range.
How do you see the general direction?
The general direction is still bullish! When the big pie closed on the monthly line in June, it effectively broke through the pressure level of the monthly Bollinger middle rail, which means that the general trend has reversed. As long as the general trend does not change, it will always be bullish, and the market will always be in the stage of bullish upside. Don’t panic !
So what is the current status of the monthly line level? How to judge whether the general trend has reversed? What do we do when a reversal occurs?
1. The current state of the big pie is the stage of bulls attacking. If the 2.9 station is not stable at present,
Will test the position above the support 28700 of the weekly Bollinger middle rail;
If 28700 falls below, the first level of monthly support (MA7) will be in the range of 28000-28200.
If it falls below the 28,000 support, the second-level large-level support on the monthly line (the Bollinger middle rail) is in the 27,600-27,800 range.
2. How to judge whether a reversal has occurred?
When the monthly line effectively falls below the support of the Bollinger middle rail, the general trend reverses!
3. What do we do when we reverse?
The effectiveness of breaking through/breaking through the range has a lag, so we can't wait until the monthly line closes to judge and identify.
How to identify it? That's what I taught you before.
First look at whether it breaks through (27600) in four hours. After four hours, it mainly depends on whether the breakout is effective at the close of the daily line. If not, it will not move temporarily;
If the daily line closes below 27600, then we will place hedging orders. The position size is 50% of the current order. When K confirms that it has fallen below 27600 in the next four hours and it is temporarily unrecoverable, we will increase the position by 25%, which is 75% of the hedging order layout. From the current situation, it is a 75% position layout Null.
When to take profit on short orders?
When it is judged that it has fallen to the next 4-hour/daily/weekly line support position, all empty orders (or more than half) of the take profit should be placed, and the position should be fully filled for long orders at low positions (set stop loss according to the situation)
When to take profit on multiple orders?
When it rises to a 4-hour/daily/weekly pressure position, close all long positions. Then take advantage of the trend to arrange empty orders.
in conclusion:
When this wave of general trend reversed, we took short positions at high levels and many at low levels, and ate the gains from the bands in this range. The three types of profits are used to offset the stop loss of the previous long order, even if the loss is not too much. This is also the optimal solution of our strategy. Even if the general trend reverses, we will not suffer much.
Moreover, it is not easy to form a major trend, and the probability of a reversal is very small. We really met, and we are not afraid!
The pyramid warfare method mentioned above is mainly for my fans. As for how much they can understand, it depends on the individual.
To summarize the above point of view:
1. You can place long orders at 28700, 28800, and 28900.
2. At present, the first support level is at 2.9; the second support level is at 28500-28700 (weekly Bollinger middle rail); the third support level is at the monthly first level support (MA7) 28000-28200 interval; the last large level of support When the 27600-27800 (monthly Bollinger mid-rail support) is effectively broken, it is a reversal of the general trend.
As long as there is no reversal, it is bullish in the general direction!
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