After years of struggling in the Crypto Assets market, I have come to realize that the biggest losses often do not come from misjudging the rise or fall of a single market trend, but from misreading the overall market cycle. Through continuous exploration, I have summarized a "Three Cycle Survival Method" that not only helps me avoid many traps, but can also save you a lot of real money.

When I first entered the coin circle, I was like a headless fly staring at the 15-minute candlestick chart, every change in the candle tugging at my nerves. I naively thought that the faster I reacted, the more I could earn, until a sharp fall severely educated me—when I nervously wanted to cut my losses, the trading system lagged like a slideshow. By the time I finally closed my position, my account was nearly empty. This experience made me deeply understand what it means to be "trampled by the market."

Fortunately, an experienced trader gave me enlightening advice: "How can you gain insight into the entire market trend by only looking at the 15-minute chart?" This statement completely changed my trading approach and prompted me to start studying multi-timeframe correlation analysis.

First, I will observe the 4-hour candlestick chart to determine the overall trend. In an upward trend, both the lows and highs are gradually rising, and pullbacks are actually good opportunities to enter the market. Conversely, in a downward trend, both the highs and lows continue to decline, and rebounds are often traps for the unwary. During a consolidation phase, prices oscillate back and forth within a certain range, and frequent trading will only lead to unnecessary loss of transaction fees. The key is to follow the trend and not go against the market.

After determining the general direction, I will turn to the 1-hour chart to look for specific entry positions. Support may be near trend lines, moving averages, or previous lows. When the price falls to these areas and stabilizes, it can be considered for buying. Resistance should focus on previous highs and key pressure zones. If a top divergence signal appears, one should take profit or reduce positions in a timely manner, avoiding greed.

Finally, the 15-minute chart is used to grasp precise entry and exit timing. This period does not consider long-term trends and is mainly used to find short-term trading signals. I will pay attention to technical indicators such as engulfing patterns, bottom divergence, or MACD golden crosses, but the most important factor is trading volume—only volume breakout is trustworthy, while breakouts without volume support are often false signals and should not be followed.

Always remember three principles: use the 4-hour chart to determine direction, the 1-hour chart to find areas, and the 15-minute chart to wait for signals; when the directions of different time frames contradict each other, it is best to stay on the sidelines; when operating in smaller time frames, stop losses must be set, and do not fantasize about a "rebound" and hold on stubbornly.

Multi-period linkage analysis is not a flashy trick, but a way to add several layers of insurance for yourself in a chaotic market. The market does not mind if you react slowly, but it will punish blind rushes. Staying calm and patient is a hundred times better than acting blindly. In the current market environment, it is especially important to be cautious regarding various positive or negative news, such as changes in Federal Reserve policies or the release of economic data, as they may trigger short-term fluctuations but should not alter your overall strategy.