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The price of Cherry AI is under pressure between the growth of usability and volatility after launch.
Start of staking – Non-inflationary rewards from fees in the ecosystem could tighten supply (14. August)
Volatility after token generation (TGE) – 50% price drop within 24 hours indicates fragile liquidity (Current: $0.018)
Sales Development – A projected revenue of $20 million could drive buybacks with sustainable growth (Target 2025)
Detailed Analysis
1. Staking Mechanic & Buybacks (Mixed Effects)
Overview:
The staking system of Cherry AI ( launched on August 14, ) uses 30% of the fees from the ecosystem to buy back AIBOT tokens from the market for loot boxes. With an expected revenue of $20 million in 2025, this could correspond to an annual buying pressure of $6 million – which is 150% of the current market capitalization.
Meaning:
Although the buyback mechanism could drive the price up, its success heavily depends on the continued growth of the user base (currently 1.2 million bot users). The 50% price drop after the token launch indicates weak initial demand despite these incentives.
2. Liquidity crisis after the launch (Negative impact)
Overview:
The 24-hour trading volume of AIBOT (19.9 million $) significantly exceeds the market capitalization (4 million $), with a turnover rate of 4.97 – a sign of extreme volatility. The token lost 50% of its value within a day after listings on PancakeSwap and BitMart (14. August).
Meaning:
Thin order books and a high circulating supply of (221.5 million out of 1 billion tokens ) increase the risk of selling pressure. As long as liquidity does not increase ( watch for the possible listing on Binance Alpha ), price discovery remains unstable.
3. Acceptance of the AI Bot (Positive Impact)
Overview:
Cherry's revenue has increased by 233% year-over-year to a forecast of $20 million, driven by the Telegram Sniper Bot with 10 million users. The token offers a 30% discount for premium features, which could drive organic demand with further user growth.
Meaning:
Every 10% increase in paying users directly leads to more AIBOT tokens being burned. However, the current price of $0.018 is still 90% below the starting price - acceptance must exceed the selling pressure.
Conclusion
The fate of AIBOT depends on whether the staking incentives and revenue sharing can offset the dilution after launch. Although the buyback model is theoretically positive, the current high volatility requires caution. Can Cherry AI convert its 10 million player base into token holders before liquidity runs out? Monitor the staking participation rate and weekly buyback volumes to confirm trends.