Chuangjin Community - Analysis on July 9, 2025

Tariffs are still a ticking time bomb... Currently, the data leans towards negative... If tariffs are resolved better, interest rate cuts will come faster this year. We are not in a widespread interest rate cut situation yet. Employment numbers are not good, and there will be timely adjustments to rate cut expectations. The impact of tariffs on short-term interest rates won't lead to cuts that quickly...
The Bitcoin price is relatively high and may be influenced by news at any time, which can drive the overall market down. As long as it does not break the historical high, it does not belong to a strong market… On that day: the large-scale three-day line, the weekly line has a divergence idea, shorting at the 4-hour high point and retreating to the three-day line, considering entering the market for short-term trading again at the weekly support, that day was a volatile short, testing the top to short… Maintain above 110,000, do not chase long positions.
Resistance levels: 2650, 2680, 109800, 112000 Support levels: 2530, 2450, 107500, 106000

Ether Day: ① Aggressive current price short at 2605 with margin call, ② Short positions at 2620, 2630, stop loss at 2640, take profit at 2560, 2530, 2500

③ Again, the 4-hour main chart shows a golden cross with divergence, requiring a break of the 2636 point. The divergence point needs to be confirmed before knowing; this is the second divergence. Throughout the process, use the divergence strategy for entry and exit. For entry, you can use a combination of 3-5 minutes or 15 minutes with 1-3 minutes. Take profit at the large pullback of 236% or the golden line for a small pullback: directly look at 382% for take profit or the golden line for take profit. The 236% point does not need to be used as a reference for take profit and should be ignored for long positions. The 382% and the golden line are also entry points for short-term long positions; do not place orders in advance, but instead use bottom lifting and divergence to take orders.

On the day of the big pie: The live broadcast room has an aggressive short position at 108750 with margin call at 109500, 110000, 112000 remaining unchanged. Take profit at 107500, 106300, 105000.

Rest assured to take good short positions must break the previous high to create divergence at 112000, 113000 limit sell orders, take profit at 107500, 106200, 105500.