Gate News bot message, CryptoQuant analyst Carmelo Alemán stated that the annual percentage trend of Bitcoin (BTC) is a more effective tool for understanding the structural trends of Bitcoin. He analyzed that 2025 represents the third bull run year of the current cycle, and it may rise by about 120% this year.
Since 2011, the annual chart of Bitcoin has shown an intriguing four-year cycle: three years of price rise, followed by one year of consolidation. This recurring pattern is closely related to Bitcoin's halving cycle, which affects supply dynamics and investor behavior.
According to this structure, 2025 represents the third bull year of the current cycle. If historical patterns hold, based on the average rise in the third year of past cycles, Bitcoin could rise about 120% this year. Starting from a point of $93,226, this implies a potential target price close to $205,097 by the end of the year.
(Source: CryptoQuant)
Other macro indicators also corroborate this argument. The Realized Cap, which measures the total value of tokens based on the latest price movements, will continue to reach new historical highs in 2025, indicating that long-term holders are continuously increasing their positions and are full of confidence.
Importantly, the annual percentage trend provides a framework to eliminate daily price noise and media-induced panic. It acts like a strategic compass, helping investors avoid short-term distractions and keeping their positions aligned with the long-term cyclical dynamics of Bitcoin.
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Analyst: 2025 will represent the third bull run year of the current cycle. This year may rise by about 120%.
Gate News bot message, CryptoQuant analyst Carmelo Alemán stated that the annual percentage trend of Bitcoin (BTC) is a more effective tool for understanding the structural trends of Bitcoin. He analyzed that 2025 represents the third bull run year of the current cycle, and it may rise by about 120% this year.
Since 2011, the annual chart of Bitcoin has shown an intriguing four-year cycle: three years of price rise, followed by one year of consolidation. This recurring pattern is closely related to Bitcoin's halving cycle, which affects supply dynamics and investor behavior.
According to this structure, 2025 represents the third bull year of the current cycle. If historical patterns hold, based on the average rise in the third year of past cycles, Bitcoin could rise about 120% this year. Starting from a point of $93,226, this implies a potential target price close to $205,097 by the end of the year.
(Source: CryptoQuant)
Other macro indicators also corroborate this argument. The Realized Cap, which measures the total value of tokens based on the latest price movements, will continue to reach new historical highs in 2025, indicating that long-term holders are continuously increasing their positions and are full of confidence.
Importantly, the annual percentage trend provides a framework to eliminate daily price noise and media-induced panic. It acts like a strategic compass, helping investors avoid short-term distractions and keeping their positions aligned with the long-term cyclical dynamics of Bitcoin.