President Trump returned to Washington early from the G7 summit in Canada on the night of the 16th. White House spokesman Ribbitt explained, "In light of the situation in the Middle East, we are responding to many important issues."
The President posted a warning message on his social media platform, Truth Social, stating "Everyone should evacuate immediately from Tehran (the capital of Iran)." According to Reuters, he requested preparations for a National Security Council meeting at the White House's crisis management office.
The revelation of these movements has led to a risk-averse trend in the stock and cryptocurrency markets, resulting in a decline in prices.
The military conflict between Israel and Iran has expanded its targets to energy infrastructure. Israel targeted oil storage facilities near Tehran, the capital of Iran, over the past weekend, and Iran conducted retaliatory attacks on oil-related facilities on the night of the 14th.
Particularly concerning is the warning from Iranian officials about the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. This strait is a strategic chokepoint through which more than 20% of the world's crude oil exports pass, and a blockade could paralyze international energy logistics.
In response, crude oil prices surged, with WTI crude oil futures exceeding $70 per barrel, reaching their highest level in about five months.
Chris Larkin of Morgan Stanley warns that "if there are unexpected developments in the future, it could have a very significant impact on investor sentiment."
cryptocurrency market conditions
In the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin (BTC) is at $106,787, up 0.9% from the previous day.
The current Bitcoin price is showing an adjustment of about 5% from its all-time high. It can be seen on the chart that it is clearly fluctuating above the psychological level of 100,000 dollars.
The moving average indicates that the golden cross state, where the 50MA greatly exceeds the 200MA, continues, suggesting that the medium to long-term upward trend is being maintained. The current price is above the 50-day moving average and is also supported in the short term.
Regarding the lower price, if the current support line around $105,000 can be maintained, a continuation of the upward trend is expected. However, if it breaks below, attention will be focused on whether the psychological barrier of $100,000 will function as strong support.
Due to the prolonged stalemate, it is highly likely that price movements within the current range will continue until significant directional factors emerge, and it is expected that future developments will be largely influenced by external factors such as geopolitical risks and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy trends.
The future of monetary policy
At the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) scheduled for June 18, no interest rate cuts by the FRB (Federal Reserve Board) are expected. According to ME's Fedwatch tool, the probability of interest rates being held steady this week is predicted to be 99.8%, indicating that market consensus is almost solidified.
On the other hand, an unexpected interest rate cut that is not priced in by the market is likely to be a significant factor in pushing Bitcoin up. As geopolitical risks and uncertainties regarding interest rate trends increase, attention will be focused on the situation in the Middle East, U.S. tariff policies, and the actions of the Federal Reserve in the near term.
The buying demand from institutional investors is
According to the weekly report by asset management company CoinShares, despite the increasing geopolitical uncertainty, last week saw inflows into exchange-traded products (ETPs) reach $1.9 billion, marking the ninth consecutive week of inflows.
The total inflow during the same period reached $12.9 billion, and the year-to-date inflow amount has updated to a record high of $13.2 billion. The company analyzes that "despite geopolitical concerns weighing on risk assets, digital assets remained resilient and attracted capital inflows alongside gold."
Here is the list of market reports published in the past.
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Concerns about geopolitical risks are growing due to Trump's early exit from the G7, but Bitcoin is fluctuating around the 100,000 Dollar mark.
President Trump returned to Washington early from the G7 summit in Canada on the night of the 16th. White House spokesman Ribbitt explained, "In light of the situation in the Middle East, we are responding to many important issues."
The President posted a warning message on his social media platform, Truth Social, stating "Everyone should evacuate immediately from Tehran (the capital of Iran)." According to Reuters, he requested preparations for a National Security Council meeting at the White House's crisis management office.
The revelation of these movements has led to a risk-averse trend in the stock and cryptocurrency markets, resulting in a decline in prices.
The military conflict between Israel and Iran has expanded its targets to energy infrastructure. Israel targeted oil storage facilities near Tehran, the capital of Iran, over the past weekend, and Iran conducted retaliatory attacks on oil-related facilities on the night of the 14th.
Particularly concerning is the warning from Iranian officials about the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. This strait is a strategic chokepoint through which more than 20% of the world's crude oil exports pass, and a blockade could paralyze international energy logistics.
In response, crude oil prices surged, with WTI crude oil futures exceeding $70 per barrel, reaching their highest level in about five months.
Chris Larkin of Morgan Stanley warns that "if there are unexpected developments in the future, it could have a very significant impact on investor sentiment."
cryptocurrency market conditions
In the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin (BTC) is at $106,787, up 0.9% from the previous day.
The moving average indicates that the golden cross state, where the 50MA greatly exceeds the 200MA, continues, suggesting that the medium to long-term upward trend is being maintained. The current price is above the 50-day moving average and is also supported in the short term.
Regarding the lower price, if the current support line around $105,000 can be maintained, a continuation of the upward trend is expected. However, if it breaks below, attention will be focused on whether the psychological barrier of $100,000 will function as strong support.
Due to the prolonged stalemate, it is highly likely that price movements within the current range will continue until significant directional factors emerge, and it is expected that future developments will be largely influenced by external factors such as geopolitical risks and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy trends.
The future of monetary policy
At the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) scheduled for June 18, no interest rate cuts by the FRB (Federal Reserve Board) are expected. According to ME's Fedwatch tool, the probability of interest rates being held steady this week is predicted to be 99.8%, indicating that market consensus is almost solidified.
On the other hand, an unexpected interest rate cut that is not priced in by the market is likely to be a significant factor in pushing Bitcoin up. As geopolitical risks and uncertainties regarding interest rate trends increase, attention will be focused on the situation in the Middle East, U.S. tariff policies, and the actions of the Federal Reserve in the near term.
The buying demand from institutional investors is
According to the weekly report by asset management company CoinShares, despite the increasing geopolitical uncertainty, last week saw inflows into exchange-traded products (ETPs) reach $1.9 billion, marking the ninth consecutive week of inflows.
The total inflow during the same period reached $12.9 billion, and the year-to-date inflow amount has updated to a record high of $13.2 billion. The company analyzes that "despite geopolitical concerns weighing on risk assets, digital assets remained resilient and attracted capital inflows alongside gold."
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Here is the list of market reports published in the past.