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The current Bitcoin market is staging a breathtaking short squeeze drama, with its trend resembling the violent rise after Trump's victory last year. Last night, the price surged past the psychological barrier of $100,000 with overwhelming force, and countless short positions are being ruthlessly liquidated in this "liquidity slaughter." This article will deeply analyze the current market pattern, reveal the driving forces behind this rise, and predict the extreme market conditions that may arise in the future.
Historically astonishing similarity: Trump market 2.0?
Market veterans will not forget the madness that followed Trump's victory in November last year, when bitcoin skyrocketed by 50% in two months, the Dow Jones index soared by 1,200 points in a single day, and bank stocks and cryptocurrencies became the biggest winners. Now, a similar scene is repeating itself: Bitcoin continues to rise after breaking through $100,000, and this morning there are fans crying about the tragic experience of waking up and being stopped out after opening a short order at $99,000.
Key Data Comparison:
- After Trump's victory in 2024: Bitcoin rises from about $50,000 to a historic high of $108,000, an increase of 50%.
- Current market conditions: Bitcoin quickly rebounded from around $85,000, reaching a high of $104,000 this morning, just a step away from the 100,000 mark.
This violent pump is not a coincidence. As recently predicted: "The Trump administration's crypto-friendly policies are driving a historic turning point for the industry." The market generally expects that if Bitcoin stabilizes at $110,000, it will trigger more billions of dollars in short positions liquidation, creating a more intense "short squeeze" (Short Squeeze) market.
Liquidity massacre: the darkest hour for short positions
This morning's market can be described as a meticulously planned "liquidity harvesting". Data shows:
- In the past 12 hours: the total amount of short squeeze across the network is approximately $230 million.
- Open interest: Quickly rebounded from 24 billion USD to over 27 billion USD, indicating that leveraged traders are rapidly rebuilding their positions.
- Long-short ratio skew: Market sentiment is clearly leaning towards longs, with previous short positions concentrated above $100,000 waiting to be stopped out.
"When the news and Twitter are full of 'target 150,000, 200,000', smart money has begun to lay out the top shipment." This is a meaningful reminder of the need for investors to stay sober even in the midst of revelry. History never repeats itself, but it is always strikingly similar when it comes to betting on greed.
Next two weeks: Epic volatility alert
Multiple analysts have issued warnings:
1. Volatility intensifies: daily fluctuations of ±10,000 points may become normal, and a liquidation volume in the billion range is not surprising.
2. Key variables: The India-Pakistan conflict, US policy, and the trend of the dollar will impact short-term trends.
3. Whale Movements: Some large holders have started to strategically adjust their positions, with one whale withdrawing 3,238 BTC (worth approximately $1.38 billion) from the exchange.
Operation suggestion:
- Those with unstable positions may wait and observe for clearer signals.
- Pay attention to tomorrow's Federal Reserve data: if it's bearish, the current pump may be hard to sustain; if it's bullish, coins that have sufficiently corrected will present excellent buying opportunities.
- Remember: Although the bull market has returned, a frenzied market requires a calm mind!
Conclusion: Stay sober amidst the madness
The current market is at a delicate turning point. On one hand, the policy dividends of the Trump administration and the continuous inflow of institutional funds (such as BlackRock's Bitcoin spot ETF steadily accumulating) support the bull market; on the other hand, high leverage and increased volatility also pose risks of severe corrections.
As an experienced trader said: "BTC can still rise, and it is far from reaching its peak, but the real game is not about guessing the rise or fall, but whether you can remain clear-headed during the madness and get off the train early." In this upcoming epic volatility, only by staying rational can you become the final winner.
#BTC即将创新高吗?#
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