Bitcoin Holds Critical Support: Will $105K Trendline Trigger a Breakout?

Bitcoin is sitting above a trendline that is pointing up, which could indicate a bullish breakout should resistance be breached.

The Ichimoku cloud is serving as overhead resistance and capping bullish movement in the short-term.

Falling below the $103,630 would skew the pattern invalid and turn the sentiment to bearish.

Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) is trading well above a key uptrend line, maintaining precarious hold on short-term support in the mixed direction of markets. The asset just had its price drop by 1.6% to approximately $104,855 at the time of writing. Even while the overall sentiment is bearish, investors are watching keenly to see if the digital asset can hold its bullish pattern or if a bearish breakdown is imminent.

Testing the Trendline: A Critical Moment

The 4-hour chart shows that Bitcoin is rebounding from a well-established ascending trendline that has supported the price since early June. This steepening of support has always served as the foundation of corrective moves in the short-term. The recent rebound off of this trendline indicates that there is potential to remain bullish but at this point, the momentum seems weak.

The rising triangle pattern, typically a bullish continuation pattern, remains intact. While the upper supply zone of the pattern — at about $107,261 — continues to be a lid on rallies. Bitcoin has tested this region a number of times, but has been met with resistance from the sellers every time, creating a zone of firm resistance.

Ichimoku Cloud Resistance Dampens Upside

Also contributing to the cautious perspective is the location of the Ichimoku Cloud. The cloud, a widely used indicator to determine levels of support and resistance, is currently offering a resistance obstacle just above the current price. Bitcoin is still trading below the cloud on this time frame, which means the bullish case is still under pressure.

A successful breakout above both the Ichimoku Cloud and the supply zone would reinforce bullish conviction, potentially opening the door for a rally toward $109,000 and higher. Until then, the cloud’s presence signals that any upside attempts may be short-lived unless volume and momentum improve significantly.

Bitcoin Eyes Breakout Amid Tight Range and Key Support Test

The immediate support level lies around $103,630. Any decline beneath this level, and a verified break beneath the trendline, would probably turn short-term sentiment bearish. In such a scenario, price targets around $101,000 or lower may be on tables, particularly in case the overall market environment is unclear.

The $104,000 to $107,000 trading range of bitcoin over the last 24 hours is representative of a range-bound market as players await clearer direction. The decreasing amplitude within the ascending triangle indicates that a greater move would be in progress, either upward when bulls take charge or down when support breaks.

At the moment, Bitcoin is in a technical crossroads. As the trendline support sticks, the cloud resistance and rejection at the supply zone is indicative of continuing market hesitation.

The content is for reference only, not a solicitation or offer. No investment, tax, or legal advice provided. See Disclaimer for more risks disclosure.
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Share
Comment
0/400
No comments
  • Pin
Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate app
Community
English
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)