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The US CPI (Consumer Price Index) will be released in May 2025.



1. CPI year-on-year growth +3.3% (compared to May 2024), slightly lower than the market expectation of +3.4% (previous value: April 2025 was +3.4%)

2. CPI Month-on-Month Change: +0.0% (compared to April 2025), lower than the expected +0.1%. (Previous value: April Month-on-Month +0.3%)

3. Core CPI (excluding food and energy): Year-on-year: +3.4% (expected +3.5%, previous value +3.6%); Month-on-month: +0.2% (expected +0.3%, previous value +0.3%)

Expectations for interest rate cuts heat up: After the data was released, the market's probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates in September rose to over 70% (previously at 50%).
U.S. Treasury yields fell: The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield declined by about 10 basis points in a single day.
US Dollar Weakens: The Dollar Index (DXY) Falls Below 104.0

The Federal Reserve may start a rate-cutting cycle in the fall of 2025. Focus on the June CPI (to be released on July 10) and the Federal Reserve's quarterly economic forecast (September FOMC)
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Myanuovip
· 06-11 01:02
According to Gate News bot, as reported by Wu, ARK Invest recorded in "The Bitcoin Monthly (May 2025)" that the price of Bitcoin rose by 11.1% in May 2025, reaching a historic high of $112,000. Data shows that net inflows of Spot Bitcoin ETF funds rose by 121%, while gold-related ETFs experienced outflows. The report pointed out that the US housing, automotive, and service sectors are currently experiencing price pressures and demand contraction. Meanwhile, the development activity of Bitcoin core software has fallen to its lowest level in a decade, with its market role shifting from technological innovation to fixed asset attributes.
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