Bitcoin Faces Multi-Year Bear Divergence As 2025 Breakout Decision Nears

Bitcoin is sitting on a support zone that matched previous cycles and could start a new upward phase soon

The longest bearish divergence since 2011 is still active and price has not yet shown clear strength

Traders are watching if this setup ends a cycle or opens a breakout path into late 2025 with fresh momentum

Bitcoin’s long-term chart suggests that major cycle support may be forming as a historic bearish divergence nears resolution. A new visual update on June 10, 2025, shows the asset moving within patterns that echo prior macro turning points. The structure could either confirm a breakout or mark the end of a multi-year impulse wave.

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Using Bitcoin's two-week index, the chart includes both momentum and price action indicators over a span from 2011 to 2025. The black and white price line shows a rising channel, while the indicators reflect divergence trends across cycles. Bearish divergence occurs when prices rise but momentum weakens, often signaling a top or consolidation.

The analyst behind the chart explained that the blue horizontal support could also be tracked through select moving averages. This area served as a key reversal zone during past Bitcoin cycles, offering early insight into future trend direction. If the current setup plays out like before, Bitcoin could soon shift toward a stronger impulsive trend or enter correction.

Longest Bearish Divergence Spanning Multiple Cycles Now in Play

The chart shows the longest-running bearish divergence in Bitcoin’s history, stretching across multiple years. Downward-sloping red trendlines overlaid on the momentum indicators highlight this extended weakening pattern. This formation aligns with prior divergences that led to either local tops or cycle resets in earlier cycles.

Such prolonged divergence typically accommodates upward momentum before losing steam across higher timeframes. This means the current impulse may have room to extend slightly before resolving into a final leg of the cycle. However, without confirmation of breakout strength, the risk of a fading rally remains in play.

Blue support trendlines across the lower indicators indicate that current market activity is still respecting cycle support. Until these lines break decisively, the existing divergence may remain in effect, pushing traders to remain cautious. Historically, divergence in Bitcoin tends to conclude after clear structural breakdowns or significant trend acceleration.

Each triangle on the chart shows where divergence began and where it was resolved in past years. The current setup mirrors 2013 and 2021 cycles in structure and slope, adding weight to the cycle argument. If history repeats, BTC could either reset around this zone or start a new impulsive breakout leg.

Will Bitcoin Confirm a New Impulse or Signal an End to Momentum?

The key question now is whether Bitcoin's price structure will extend into a new macro impulse or begin declining If BTC confirms a breakout above current trendlines, it may negate the divergence and start a strong upward cycle Alternatively, failure to break through the overhead resistance could point to the completion of the ongoing momentum phase.